Looking Ahead: What the Experts Are Saying About Home Prices in 2025

Lately, there's been a lot of buzz about what's next for home prices, especially with 2024 shifting gears in some markets. Here in Mount Pleasant, the average single-family home price increased to $1,279,444 in May 2024, a 12.06% increase from a year earlier. 

But what about the future of the market? Listen, no one has a crystal ball, but experts have released early predictions for home prices in 2025. Let’s dive in. 

The Big Picture: National Home Price Predictions for 2025

It’s hard to believe 2024 is halfway over! Looking ahead to 2025, experts predict a slowdown in the national housing market's breakneck pace. Now, that doesn't mean prices are plummeting. In fact, the average forecast anticipates a +2.5% increase in national home prices for 2025. That would mark the 13th consecutive year of home price growth.

Home projections vary among major groups, with predictions running from a 0.3% increase to 4.4%

• Goldman Sachs: +4.4% growth in home prices in 2025

• Wells Fargo: +4.3%

• Mortgage Bankers Association: 3.3%

• Morgan Stanley: 3.0%

• Zelman & Associates: 2.3%

• Fannie Mae: 1.5%

• Freddie Mac: 0.5%

• Moody’s Analytics: 0.3%

It’s Not a One-Size-Fits-All Picture

While national trends provide a useful overview, real estate is inherently local. Charleston and Mount Pleasant might not follow the national average. Local factors such as the labor market, inventory levels, and specific regional economic conditions will play a significant role in shaping the housing market here. 

For instance, areas with strong job growth (like Charleston) and limited housing supply (like Charleston) may continue to see higher price appreciation, while other regions may experience more modest gains or even slight declines.

Some of the key factors I watch every month include: 

• Inventory Levels - 3,814 active listings in the Charleston area, 313 in Mount Pleasant (as of 7/5/24), 

• Interest Rates - 7.03% 30-year fixed-rate (per Mortgage News Daily on 7/5/24- your rate will vary depending on many factors including credit score, income, property type, loan type, and more. Reach out and I will be more than happy to connect you with a great local lender.)

• Average Days on the Market- 35 days in the entire Charleston area and 23 days in Mount Pleasant in May 2024

• Average Sale Prices- $680,622 in the entire Charleston area (all property types) and $1,279,444 (single-family) in Mount Pleasant in May 2024

• List-to-Sale Price Ratio - 97% in the entire Charleston area, and 97.5% in Mount Pleasant

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Final Thoughts

Navigating the real estate market in Charleston in 2025 requires a blend of national insights and local expertise. By understanding the broader trends and keeping an eye on local market dynamics, you can make informed decisions whether you're buying or selling a home. Stay tuned for more updates and feel free to reach out with any questions or for personalized advice on your real estate journey.

For a free consultation or discovery call to chat about your goals, connect with me here.